Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
FM Estimate
9%Market Price
12%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 11 active outcome markets. April 30, 2026: 94%, April 30: 91%, April 22, 2026: 86%.
Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by Apri
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?" at 12% YES / 88% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 12%, NO 88%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986539