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Market Closed

This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Share on X

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

0%YES
100%NO
Vol 24h$835K
Liquidity$0
ClosedApr 20, 2026

FM Estimate

12%

Market Price

15%
↑ Overpriced 2.2pp
Macro fundamentals-4.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
medium confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate
-28.9pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $835K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 20, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-21). "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2002697