Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 3?
Closes April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
7% / 11%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
10%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 3?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1839904
This event has 15 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4?: 83%, price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5?: 75%.
Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 3?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
25% YES
Apr 3, 2026
Trough probability
10% YES — lowest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Biggest move: -11.5pp
25% → 13%
Apr 3, 2026
Current
10% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this