Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 4?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$30K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
1.30pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 4?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $30K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 4?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1854189
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?: 73%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 33%, Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?: 12%.
Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 4?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Current
1% YES (-1.1pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-13.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this