Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 31?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
11% / 15%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
13%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 31?" at 18% YES / 82% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 18%, NO 82%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800059
This event has 31 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 62%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 45%, Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?: 43%.
Bitcoin reach $69,000 on March 31?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
9% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: +7.5pp
12% → 19%
Mar 31, 2026
Current
19% YES (+7.5pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this