Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 31?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 31?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1800047
This event has 31 active outcome markets. December 31, 2026: 64%, Bitcoin reach $68,000 on March 31?: 59%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?: 50%.
Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 31?
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.2pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+33.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this