Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 12?
Closed April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -6.2pp below current market price; market at 43% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -2.4% ↓, ETH -3.2% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$24K
Liquidity
$0
Bid / Ask
39% / 45%
Spread
6.00pp
Expert Signal
43%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 12?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1953286
This event has 24 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 55%, Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?: 14%, December 31, 2026: 10%.
Bitcoin reach $72,000 on April 12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
70% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 13, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
31%
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: -35.0pp
66% → 31%
Apr 12, 2026
Peak probability
76% YES — highest in period
Apr 12, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this