Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
FM Estimate
75%Market Price
76%This event has 10 active outcome markets. April 30, 2026: 84%, April 30: 82%, April 30: 77%.
J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?" at 76% YES / 24% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 76%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 76%, NO 24%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986538