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Markets/Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
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Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

10%YES
90%NO
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$13K
Bid / Ask9% / 10%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesApr 30, 2026

FM Estimate

9%

Market Price

10%
Aligned
Historical patterns-1.0pp
Macro fundamentals+0.3pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

+0.0pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986539