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Markets/Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
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Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

82%YES
18%NO
Vol 24h$4K
Liquidity$19K
Bid / Ask81% / 82%
Spread1.00pp
ClosesApr 30, 2026

FM Estimate

81%

Market Price

82%
↑ Overpriced 0.6pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
Macro fundamentals-0.1pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

+0.0pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?" at 82% YES / 18% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 82%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 82%, NO 18%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986541