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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?

Closes April 8, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
94%FIS
+1ppvs market 93%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +1.2pp above current market price; market at 93% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.6% ↑, ETH +1.2% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +0.6% ↑, ETH +1.2% ↑, S&P +0.6% ↑
+1.2pp
Live compute10:32 PM

Polymarket Price

93%YES
7%NO

Volume 24h

$23K

Liquidity

$29K

Bid / Ask

92% / 93%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

93%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 93%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817380

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-1.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

95% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

93% YES (-2.1pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 93%99%
Buy YES@ 93¢
Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.8%
½ Kelly1.4%
Buy NO@ 7¢

-2.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this