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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 9?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 9?

Closes April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

98%YES
2%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$17K

Bid / Ask

97% / 100%

Spread

2.60pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-0.3pp
confidence38%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 9?" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 2.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831378

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.3pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 98%99%
Buy YES@ 98¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 2¢
Edge

+17.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO+17.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this