Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.6pp above current market price; market at 58% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.1% ↑, ETH +0.4% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$244K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
52% / 54%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
63%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9?" at 59% YES / 41% NO. In the last 24 hours, $244K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 63%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 59%, NO 41%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831387
This event has 23 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: -5.0pp
55% → 50%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
59% YES (+5.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this