Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.1pp below current market price; market at 52% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -0.4% ↓, S&P +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
49% / 54%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
53%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 7?" at 53% YES / 47% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 53%, NO 47%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808030
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
56% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: -8.5pp
64% → 55%
Apr 7, 2026
Peak probability
64% YES — highest in period
Apr 7, 2026
Current
54% YES (-1.5pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this