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Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
This event has 80 active outcome markets. Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the f: 100%, Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the fir: 99%, Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in th: 62%.
Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round o
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60pp. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1656595