Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?
Closes April 6, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC +0.1% ↑, ETH -0.4% ↓, S&P +1.0% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$246K
Liquidity
$36K
Bid / Ask
99% / 100%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $246K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792516
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 6?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
58% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: -19.0pp
74% → 55%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
99% YES (+0.6pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this