Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?
Closes April 6, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +2.5pp above current market price; market at 4% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.5% ↑, ETH +2.6% ↑, S&P +0.5% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$155K
Liquidity
$33K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $155K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792526
This event has 25 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 6?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 6?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
13% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 5, 2026
Biggest move: -12.0pp
18% → 6%
Apr 2, 2026
Peak probability
25% YES — highest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
1% YES (-0.2pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-4.8%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this