Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
Closed April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$279K
Liquidity
$97K
Bid / Ask
2% / 2%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $279K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813651
This event has 25 active outcome markets. Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nat: 98%, Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation: 92%, Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nati: 90%.
Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the N
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
6% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
2% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+21.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this