Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?
Closes April 8, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -3.3pp below current market price; market at 84% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.8% ↓, ETH -1.5% ↓, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$13K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
84% / 86%
Spread
2.20pp
Expert Signal
91%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?" at 85% YES / 15% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 91%. The bid-ask spread is 2.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 85%, NO 15%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817340
This event has 36 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 8?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-3.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this