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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 8?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 8?

Closes April 8, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
3%FIS
3ppvs market 6%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -3.1pp below current market price; market at 6% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.8% ↓, ETH -1.4% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.8% ↓, ETH -1.4% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓
-3.1pp
Live compute01:55 PM

Polymarket Price

6%YES
94%NO

Volume 24h

$8K

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

5% / 7%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-67.7pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 8?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817344

Outcome Markets36 markets

This event has 36 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 8?: 100%.

price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 8?

6%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 6%99%
Buy YES@ 6¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 94¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this