Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 2?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
2% / 2%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 2?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823952
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $67,000 on April 2?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?: 72%, Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 2?: 38%.
Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
1% YES (-0.3pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+25.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this