Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 2?
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
0.90pp
Expert Signal
4%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 2?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823953
This event has 18 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $67,000 on April 2?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?: 72%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 37%.
Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
3% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Current
4% YES (-4.8pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+12.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this