Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.4pp below current market price; market at 13% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -0.5% ↓, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$123K
Liquidity
$33K
Bid / Ask
10% / 11%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
13%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $123K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831449
This event has 26 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 10: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
5% YES — lowest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
11%
Apr 2, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
50%
Apr 8, 2026
Biggest move: -40.0pp
50% → 10%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
14% YES (+2.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this