Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$211K
Liquidity
$45K
Bid / Ask
99% / 99%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $211K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831444
This event has 37 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 9?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
35% YES — lowest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
38%
Apr 2, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
55%
Apr 5, 2026
Biggest move: +32.5pp
59% → 92%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
99% YES (+0.7pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this