Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -3.8pp below current market price; market at 95% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -1.1% ↓, ETH -1.4% ↓, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$26K
Bid / Ask
95% / 96%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
96%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 96%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831439
This event has 38 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 7?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 7?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 7?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
93% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
94% YES (+0.9pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
-9.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this