Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" this week? (April 12)
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$87
Liquidity
$166
Bid / Ask
44% / 91%
Spread
47.00pp
Expert Signal
68%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" this week? (April 12)" at 68% YES / 32% NO. In the last 24 hours, $87 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 68%. The bid-ask spread is 47.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" this week? (April 12)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 68%, NO 32%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1847729
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Trump say "Make America Great Again" this wee: 98%, Trump say "Moon" this week? (April 12): 87%, Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12): 85%.
Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" or "Predicted" this
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this