Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 17?
Closes April 17, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.6pp below current market price; market at 10% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.4% ↓, ETH -2.3% ↓, S&P +1.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$643
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
9% / 10%
Spread
0.80pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 17?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $643 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 17?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1938129
This event has 32 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 16: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 15: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 15: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 17?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+4.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this