Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?
Closes April 17, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.5pp below current market price; market at 24% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.3% ↓, ETH -2.4% ↓, S&P +1.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
23% / 25%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
18%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 18%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1938126
This event has 32 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 16: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 15: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 15: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this