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Markets/Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
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Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Closes July 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$18K

Bid / Ask

3% / 4%

Spread

0.90pp

Expert Signal

3%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

5% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Current

3% YES (-0.6pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 97¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on July 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1591782