Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Closes July 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$3K
Bid / Ask
13% / 15%
Spread
1.90pp
Expert Signal
15%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
25 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
8% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: +6.3pp
7% → 14%
Mar 26, 2026
Current
14% YES (+6.3pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?" at 15% YES / 85% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 1.90 percentage points. The market closes on July 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 15%, NO 85%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1591779
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
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