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Markets/Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
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Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Closes July 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

63%YES
37%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

58% / 68%

Spread

10.00pp

Expert Signal

63%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Full event →
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public
93%
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public
76%
Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public
63%
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
46%
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
35%
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
28%
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
22%
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
17%
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
16%
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
15%
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
9%
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
8%
Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
7%
Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
7%
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
5%
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol publi
4%
Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol publ
3%
Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol publ
1%
Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol publ
1%
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol publ
1%
Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol publ
1%
Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol publ
0%

22 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 63%99%
Buy YES@ 63¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 37¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?" at 63% YES / 37% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 63%. The bid-ask spread is 10.00 percentage points. The market closes on July 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 63%, NO 37%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1782688

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