US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
FM Estimate
70%Market Price
71%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 12 active outcome markets. April 30, 2026: 92%, April 30: 86%, April 22, 2026: 84%.
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?" at 71% YES / 29% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 71%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 20, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-17). "US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 71%, NO 29%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2002697