ForecastMind
Markets/Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 2?
Share on X

Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 2?

Closes April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

7%YES
93%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

6% / 12%

Spread

6.10pp

Expert Signal

7%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 2?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 6.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823953

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

3% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

4% YES (-0.3pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 7%99%
Buy YES@ 7¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 93¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this