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Markets/Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
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Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

77%YES
23%NO
Vol 24h$4K
Liquidity$9K
Bid / Ask76% / 78%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesApr 30, 2026

FM Estimate

76%

Market Price

77%
↑ Overpriced 0.6pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
Macro fundamentals-0.1pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

-0.5pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?" at 77% YES / 23% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 77%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 77%, NO 23%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1986540