Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$20K
Liquidity
$31K
Bid / Ask
98% / 99%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831441
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 8?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 8?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 8?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
81% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Peak probability
98% YES — highest in period
Apr 8, 2026
Current
98% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
+2.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this