Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +6.9pp above current market price; market at 3% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.4% ↑, ETH +3.6% ↑, S&P +2.9% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
2% / 2%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831454
This event has 24 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 8?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 8?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 8?: 100%.
price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
3% YES (-1.2pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+13.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this