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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?

Closes April 8, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
83%FIS
4ppvs market 87%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -4.4pp below current market price; market at 87% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -1.2% ↓, ETH -1.6% ↓, S&P -0.5% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -1.2% ↓, ETH -1.6% ↓, S&P -0.5% ↓
-4.4pp
Live compute03:51 PM

Polymarket Price

87%YES
13%NO

Volume 24h

$13K

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

85% / 87%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

90%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+6.0pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?" at 87% YES / 13% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 90%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 87%, NO 13%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817340

Outcome Markets36 markets

This event has 36 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 7?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 7?: 100%.

price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 8?

87%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.9pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 87%99%
Buy YES@ 87¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 13¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this