Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$1K
Bid / Ask
70% / 71%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
70%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?" at 70% YES / 30% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 70%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 70%, NO 30%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813637
This event has 24 active outcome markets. Trump say "Nuclear" during Address to the Nat: 97%, Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation: 92%, Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Addres: 88%.
Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
65% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
70% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this