ForecastMind

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian…

2026

Consensus Probability

5%
Weak5%
Polymarket9% avg · 87 markets

Confidence is based on agreement between venues, number of confirming markets, and available liquidity. High disagreement or thin markets — interpret with caution.

Contributing Markets

VenueMarketYESVolumeRole
PolymarketWill Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?5%$146Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?3%$58Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?5%$32Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?3%$16Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?5%$15Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?29%$3Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?39%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?59%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?18%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%$2Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%$1Kstandalone
PolymarketWill Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?16%$955standalone
PolymarketWill Marisol Pérez Tello finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?3%$769standalone
PolymarketWill Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%$766standalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Chiabra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?11%$710standalone
PolymarketWill Vladimir Cerrón finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?7%$698standalone
PolymarketWill Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?4%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?7%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?2%$654standalone
PolymarketWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?5%$654standalone
PolymarketWill José Williams finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?8%$611standalone
PolymarketWill Mesías Guevara finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?3%$524standalone
PolymarketWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?11%$399standalone
PolymarketWill Fiorella Molinelli finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?2%$361standalone
PolymarketWill Wolfgang Grozo finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?7%$335standalone
PolymarketWill George Forsyth finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?7%$331standalone
PolymarketWill Fernando Olivera finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?3%$268standalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?4%$260standalone
PolymarketWill Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?18%$259standalone
PolymarketWill Wolfgang Grozo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?12%$233standalone
PolymarketWill Yonhy Lescano finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?12%$231standalone
PolymarketWill Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?6%$223standalone
PolymarketWill Mario Vizcarra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?11%$215standalone
PolymarketWill César Acuña finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?7%$214standalone
PolymarketWill Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?10%$211standalone
PolymarketWill Enrique Valderrama finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?10%$210standalone
PolymarketWill Fiorella Molinelli finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?8%$210standalone
PolymarketWill Yonhy Lescano finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?9%$210standalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Espá finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?4%$209standalone
PolymarketWill Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?10%$207standalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?12%$206standalone
PolymarketWill José Luna finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?3%$195standalone
PolymarketWill Mario Vizcarra finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?9%$154standalone
PolymarketWill José Williams finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?19%$152standalone
PolymarketWill Enrique Valderrama finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?21%$152standalone
PolymarketWill Fernando Olivera finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?21%$149standalone
PolymarketWill César Acuña finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?6%$148standalone
PolymarketWill Marisol Pérez Tello finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?9%$143standalone
PolymarketWill Fiorella Molinelli finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?7%$138standalone
PolymarketWill Mesías Guevara finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?8%$138standalone
PolymarketWill Mario Vizcarra finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?6%$136standalone
PolymarketWill Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?13%$136standalone
PolymarketWill Enrique Valderrama finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?9%$136standalone
PolymarketWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?6%$136standalone
PolymarketWill Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?24%$136standalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?12%$136standalone
PolymarketWill Fernando Olivera finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?8%$136standalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?6%$133standalone
PolymarketWill José Luna finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?7%$128standalone
PolymarketWill George Forsyth finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?4%$128standalone
PolymarketWill Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?8%$128standalone
PolymarketWill José Williams finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?9%$128standalone
PolymarketWill Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?7%$128standalone
PolymarketWill Vladimir Cerrón finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?7%$128standalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Chiabra finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?5%$128standalone
PolymarketWill Yonhy Lescano finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?8%$128standalone
PolymarketWill Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?6%$128standalone
PolymarketWill Wolfgang Grozo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?8%$128standalone
PolymarketWill Roberto Chiabra finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?9%$110standalone
PolymarketWill César Acuña finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?9%$110standalone
PolymarketWill José Luna finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?9%$110standalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?10%$110standalone
PolymarketWill Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?11%$110standalone
PolymarketWill Mesías Guevara finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?10%$110standalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Espá finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?11%$109standalone
PolymarketWill Vladimir Cerrón finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?13%$109standalone
PolymarketWill George Forsyth finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?10%$99standalone
PolymarketWill Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?9%$77standalone
PolymarketWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?44%$64standalone
PolymarketWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?12%$60standalone
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian… — 5% Consensus | ForecastMind