Market Closed
This market has resolved. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
Wikipedia Attention
This event has 15 active outcome markets. at: 58%, turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvi: 54%, less: 41%.
Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peru
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1665866