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Markets/Will Jorge Nieto win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?

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Will Jorge Nieto win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?

0%YES

100%NO

Vol 24h$7K

Liquidity$12K

ClosedApr 12, 2026

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets125 markets

This event has 125 active outcome markets. Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the f: 99%, Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the fir: 99%, turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvi: 93%.

Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round

99%

Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round o

99%

turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian preside

93%

Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian

87%

Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first

81%

Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first ro

66%

Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round

35%

Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first

19%

Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of

19%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the f

18%

Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian

10%

Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first rou

Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first roun

Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first roun

Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in th

Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round

turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian preside

Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first roun

Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of

turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian preside

Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round

Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first

Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first ro

Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round

Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first roun

Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of

Mario Vizcarra finish in third place in the first round

Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round

turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian preside

Mesías Guevara finish in third place in the first round

Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first roun

another outcome occur in the the first round of the 202

José Williams finish in third place in the first round

Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first rou

Enrique Valderrama finish in third place in the first r

Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first rou

Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first r

Wolfgang Grozo finish in third place in the first round

George Forsyth finish in third place in the first round

Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of

Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the f

Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first roun

Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first

Fernando Olivera finish in third place in the first rou

Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first

Marisol Pérez Tello finish in third place in the first

Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first

Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round o

Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first roun

Carlos Espá finish in third place in the first round of

Fiorella Molinelli finish in third place in the first r

Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first

Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of

Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round

Roberto Chiabra finish in third place in the first roun

Jorge Nieto win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian pr

Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first roun

Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elec

Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first

Mario Vizcarra finish in second place in the first roun

Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round o

Mesías Guevara finish in second place in the first roun

George Forsyth finish in second place in the first roun

César Acuña finish in second place in the first round o

José Williams finish in second place in the first round

Fiorella Molinelli finish in second place in the first

Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first rou

Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first roun

Enrique Valderrama finish in second place in the first

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in second place in the fir

José Luna finish in second place in the first round of

Vladimir Cerrón finish in second place in the first rou

Roberto Chiabra finish in second place in the first rou

Fernando Olivera finish in second place in the first ro

Yonhy Lescano finish in second place in the first round

Yonhy Lescano finish in third place in the first round

Vladimir Cerrón finish in first place in the first roun

Fiorella Molinelli finish in first place in the first r

Carlos Espá finish in first place in the first round of

Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round

Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first

Wolfgang Grozo finish in second place in the first roun

José Luna finish in third place in the first round of t

Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first r

César Acuña finish in third place in the first round of

Vladimir Cerrón finish in third place in the first roun

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in third place in the firs

Yonhy Lescano finish in first place in the first round

Roberto Chiabra finish in first place in the first roun

Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Per

José Williams finish in first place in the first round

Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Per

Fernando Olivera finish in first place in the first rou

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in first place in the firs

Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Per

Marisol Pérez Tello finish in first place in the first

Mario Vizcarra finish in first place in the first round

Alfonso López Chau finish in fourth place in the first

Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peru

César Acuña finish in first place in the first round of

Alfonso López Chau win the first round of the 2026 Peru

Carlos Álvarez win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian

José Luna finish in first place in the first round of t

Mesías Guevara finish in first place in the first round

José Williams finish in fourth place in the first round

Carlos Álvarez finish in fourth place in the first roun

Wolfgang Grozo win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian

Enrique Valderrama finish in fourth place in the first

Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round

Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first r

George Forsyth finish in first place in the first round

Wolfgang Grozo finish in first place in the first round

Enrique Valderrama finish in first place in the first r

Carlos Espá finish in fourth place in the first round o

Keiko Fujimori finish in fourth place in the first roun

Marisol Pérez Tello finish in fourth place in the first

turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian preside

Yonhy Lescano finish in fourth place in the first round

Mesías Guevara finish in fourth place in the first roun

George Forsyth finish in fourth place in the first roun

Mario Vizcarra finish in fourth place in the first roun

Fiorella Molinelli finish in fourth place in the first

Roberto Chiabra finish in fourth place in the first rou

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in fourth place in the fir

Vladimir Cerrón finish in fourth place in the first rou

Price History · 30 days

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Jorge Nieto win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will Jorge Nieto win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1665870