ForecastMind
Markets/Will Solana reach $130 in April?
Share on X

Will Solana reach $130 in April?

Closes May 1, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
3%FIS

Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.3% ↓, ETH +0.7% ↑, S&P +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.3% ↓, ETH +0.7% ↑, S&P +0.1% ↑
+0.2pp
Live compute08:12 AM

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$27K

Bid / Ask

2% / 3%

Spread

0.60pp

Expert Signal

3%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana reach $130 in April?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will Solana reach $130 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823884

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

3% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Current

3% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢
Edge

+11.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.3%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 97¢

-0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+11.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this