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Markets/Will Solana reach $90 in April?
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Will Solana reach $90 in April?

Closes May 1, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
54%FIS

Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.1% ↓, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.1% ↓, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P -0.1% ↓
-0.3pp
Live compute08:47 AM

Polymarket Price

55%YES
46%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

53% / 55%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

55%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana reach $90 in April?" at 55% YES / 45% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 55%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Solana reach $90 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 55%, NO 45%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823888

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+30.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

26% YES

Apr 2, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

53%

Apr 6, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

42%

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: +34.0pp

41% → 75%

Apr 7, 2026

Peak probability

77% YES — highest in period

Apr 8, 2026

Current

56% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 55%99%
Buy YES@ 55¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.1%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 45¢

-1.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this