Will Solana reach $120 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.1% ↓, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$33K
Bid / Ask
3% / 4%
Spread
0.60pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana reach $120 in April?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Solana reach $120 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823885
This event has 28 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 66%, Solana reach $90 in April?: 55%, Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?: 37%.
Solana reach $120 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
20% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
1% YES — lowest in period
Apr 5, 2026
Biggest move: -15.0pp
20% → 5%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
3% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-9.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this