Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
17% / 22%
Spread
5.00pp
Expert Signal
19%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?" at 19% YES / 81% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 19%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 19%, NO 81%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823904
This event has 35 active outcome markets. Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 100%, Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?: 100%, XRP reach $1.40 in April?: 92%.
XRP reach $1.60 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Apr 13, 2026
Biggest move: -6.5pp
22% → 15%
Apr 14, 2026
Peak probability
22% YES — highest in period
Apr 14, 2026
Current
16% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this