StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Closes January 1, 2027
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$25K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
13% / 20%
Spread
7.00pp
Expert Signal
17%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
34 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
18% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Current
17% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Mar 29, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on January 1, 2027.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1299974
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