Markets/Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

3%YES

97%NO

Vol 24h$90K

Liquidity$14K

Bid / Ask3% / 4%

Spread0.90pp

ClosesOct 4, 2026

FM Estimate

Market Price

↑ Overpriced 1.2pp

Macro fundamentals-3.0pp

Historical patterns-1.0pp

low confidence · 2 signals

Outcome Markets80 markets

This event has 80 active outcome markets. Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the f: 100%, Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the fir: 99%, Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in th: 61%.

Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round

100%

Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round o

99%

Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first ro

61%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the

59%

Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first

40%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the f

39%

Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round

Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first rou

Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in th

Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first roun

Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first roun

Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first ro

Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of

Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round

Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first

Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first roun

Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first rou

Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first rou

Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of

Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in t

Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first

Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the

Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round

Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round o

Ricardo Belmont finish in third place in the first roun

Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the f

Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first r

Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first rou

Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round o

Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first roun

Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first roun

Carlos Espá finish in first place in the first round of

Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of

Yonhy Lescano finish in second place in the first round

César Acuña finish in first place in the first round of

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in first place in the firs

Yonhy Lescano finish in first place in the first round

Carlos Espá finish in second place in the first round o

Wolfgang Grozo finish in first place in the first round

Mesías Guevara finish in first place in the first round

Marisol Pérez Tello finish in first place in the first

Marisol Pérez Tello finish in second place in the first

Enrique Valderrama finish in second place in the first

José Williams finish in first place in the first round

Vladimir Cerrón finish in first place in the first roun

César Acuña finish in second place in the first round o

José Williams finish in second place in the first round

Mesías Guevara finish in second place in the first roun

Fernando Olivera finish in second place in the first ro

Fernando Olivera finish in first place in the first rou

George Forsyth finish in second place in the first roun

Vladimir Cerrón finish in second place in the first rou

Mario Vizcarra finish in first place in the first round

Roberto Chiabra finish in second place in the first rou

Enrique Valderrama finish in first place in the first r

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in second place in the fir

Fiorella Molinelli finish in second place in the first

Alfonso López Chau finish in fourth place in the first

Mario Vizcarra finish in second place in the first roun

Alfonso López Chau finish in second place in the first

Carlos Álvarez finish in fourth place in the first roun

Carlos Espá finish in fourth place in the first round o

José Luna finish in first place in the first round of t

Roberto Chiabra finish in first place in the first roun

George Forsyth finish in first place in the first round

Fiorella Molinelli finish in first place in the first r

José Luna finish in second place in the first round of

José Williams finish in fourth place in the first round

Enrique Valderrama finish in fourth place in the first

Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round

Yonhy Lescano finish in fourth place in the first round

Fernando Olivera finish in fourth place in the first ro

César Acuña finish in fourth place in the first round o

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in fourth place in the fir

Vladimir Cerrón finish in fourth place in the first rou

Marisol Pérez Tello finish in fourth place in the first

Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first roun

Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 202

Vladimir Cerrón finish in third place in the first roun

Mario Vizcarra finish in third place in the first round

Price History · 30 days

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $90K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90pp. The market closes on October 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1365893