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Markets/Will Solana reach $90 in April?
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Will Solana reach $90 in April?

Closes May 1, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
70%FIS
+1ppvs market 69%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +1.0pp above current market price; market at 68% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.6% ↓, ETH +0.2% ↑, S&P +2.9% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC -0.6% ↓, ETH +0.2% ↑, S&P +2.9% ↑
+1.0pp
Live compute04:15 AM

Polymarket Price

69%YES
32%NO

Volume 24h

$15K

Liquidity

$31K

Bid / Ask

66% / 70%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

69%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana reach $90 in April?" at 69% YES / 31% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 69%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will Solana reach $90 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 69%, NO 31%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823888

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-8.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

75% YES

Apr 7, 2026

Trough probability

67% YES — lowest in period

Apr 8, 2026

Biggest move: -5.5pp

77% → 72%

Apr 8, 2026

Current

67% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 69%99%
Buy YES@ 69¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.6%
½ Kelly0.8%
Buy NO@ 31¢

-1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this