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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 10?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 10?

Closes April 10, 2026

Polymarket Price

99%YES
1%NO

Volume 24h

$26K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

99% / 99%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-0.7pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 10?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $26K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 10?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846082

Outcome Markets27 markets

This event has 27 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 9?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 9?: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

98% YES

Apr 8, 2026

Current

99% YES (+0.4pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢
Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly23.1%
½ Kelly11.5%
Buy NO@ 1¢

-23.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 23.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this