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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?

Closes April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

94%YES
7%NO

Volume 24h

$13K

Liquidity

$27K

Bid / Ask

93% / 94%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

94%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?" at 94% YES / 6% NO. In the last 24 hours, $13K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 94%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 94%, NO 6%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808029

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

93% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

91% YES (-2.5pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 94%99%
Buy YES@ 94¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly7.7%
½ Kelly3.8%
Buy NO@ 6¢

-7.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 7.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this